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Tag Archive 'earthquake'

With a scientific attitude toward earthquake prediction

The face of sudden disaster, we still believe there should be a scientific approach to deal with earthquakes and earthquake prediction. Earthquake prediction is still a global scientific challenges, which is globally recognized research and academic community (Earthquake prediction is the Holy Grail of seismology seismology in earthquake prediction is the crown, Nature 437, 969-974 13 Oct 2005). In this regard there is a lot of research and documentary evidence to support this view, owners translated in 2008 in "Nature" (Nature) Review of research published (Review) in paragraph (Nature 451, 271-273 17 January 2008), for your reference:

With regard to academic point of view of earthquake prediction

Japan is earthquake-prone countries in 2006, Japan established a set of earthquake early warning systems. Owners translation of the official information from Japan Meteorological Agency, to introduce on the set of basic knowledge of alarm systems. It is worth emphasizing that, even this sophisticated alarm system is also only a few seconds before the earthquake, to tens of seconds to provide a report:

Japan's earthquake early warning systems

Finally, Fang Zhouzi transferred a blog article, in fact, the author calls The reason is simple, everyone thought about it, will know. So, do not believe rumors, do not pass rumor, but we need to spend a minute or two the time bar. Finally everyone can ask yourself, do I have to read a single word I would like to forward the text, do I have to personally point to forward me the link. These two points, a lot of rumors on the go too.

Earthquake prediction, the original case (switch to New Threads articles)
Authors: Xiao Li

http://www.xys-reader.org/blogs/fangzhouzi?p=9309

Today, listening to a fellow student of mine said that in 2006 it was published on the paper, predicted that the Wenchuan earthquake. Surprised and bewildered, I quickly recruited into the original reading, after reading the help but laugh. This trick is so simple and really a bit surprising.

Paper entitled "Method Based on Public-degree earthquake in Sichuan-Yunnan region trends in research," published in 2006, "Disaster study", the author is Long Xiaoxia, Yan-Jun-ping, SUN Hu, Zu-being. The first author is 23 years old at the time of the Travel and Tourism Master, graduated in 2007. However, according to the author of another paper data show that Miss Long Xiaoxia working in the Sian II. She is serving the estimated degree of secondary school teachers. This paper, but four, including a large number of charts, the actual number of words only about 2000 words, turned out to be a common outcome of the four authors.

At first glance, the author two years ago to make startling predictions, be called God-man. However, would like to know a few details of the game can be debunked.

Points 1, this prediction is not a little god. Long Xiaoxia predicted that an earthquake will occur in Sichuan-Yunnan region, this range is too great. According to her the data given in the paper, the entire 20th century, in the 1913 to 1996 a major earthquake in Sichuan-Yunnan region between 37 times, an average of 0.45 times each year. In other words, if she predicted that in any one year will be an earthquake in Sichuan-Yunnan region, then the correct probability was 45%.

Point two, she applied the method, but is "make up the numbers." Egyptians thousands of years ago predicted the solar eclipse in this way. A little mathematical knowledge of the people understand: As long as a sufficient number of parameters to set, any one set of data can "find" out of the laws, and can make any kind of predictions.

Point 3, her apparent contradictory projections. According to her approach, at least three years - 1990,1993 and 1998 - should a major earthquake. Why she did not mention the three years involved?

Point 4, the so-called "commensurable method" is no more than four arithmetic operations (Strictly speaking, the only use addition and subtraction). Her seriousness of the some of the data into triples or four-tuple increase and reduction, in fact, the only one: in those years can be Couchu four arithmetic series (provided that the original data modification).
Point 5, this method in the West known as the "numerology" is the originator of Pythagoras, and still is widely used in astrology. Said she was "pseudo-science" would not be very appropriate - should be called the pre-science.

Interestingly, this paper turned out to be the Ministry of Education philosophy and social sciences research results of major research projects. According to Institute for Tourism Studies, Shaanxi Normal University, published data, the subject name of "Western economic development and ecological restoration research", the host Yan Jun-ping (in this paper's second author), capital 300,000. The research project has anything to do with earthquakes? Can see that the Ministry of Education of the Road, a few were bad people, to wipe out 300,000.

Relatives and friends by the disaster in the post-traumatic surrounded by people who may wish to take the necessary measures to cope with the psychological crisis intervention treatment.

1, silently accompanied the crisis, each party has a psychology of fear, this time a lot of people think that the need to say something to comfort him, and in fact this is a very wrong approach, because this time you have to say the words, Most of his inner self in order to reduce anxiety, then to fear does in fact are all rubbish. Truly effective, your presence and companionship.

2, unconditionally listen to intervene, a spit is faster, is psychosocial intervention in a deceptively simple, but in reality the most important steps to allow the emergency response object to say it, like trash, like the hearts of the negative feelings, thoughts unabashedly expressed, in order to guide them to the positive aspects of walking.

3, infinite care about the party after the incident in the crisis are often especially eager to care for and understanding. Sometimes a cup of warm water is better than 10 million words, in the hands feeling the warmth of hot water, and saw your caring actions, this is their greatest need.

4 and unconditional acceptance for those who cry. The most wrong way is to ask them not to upset, do not cry, in fact, the correct approach is to give him a tissue paper, he would feel being accepted by you, finally someone can let him cry, it can hurt the hearts of ease. At this time to tell him, crying, sadness, guilt, etc. are all human beings in pain as a natural emotional expression, not weakness, it is normal.

Commonly used psychological intervention described above, except applied to disasters and other events is apt to cause psychological crisis is also applicable, such as family death, car accidents, or illness and even emotional breakdown, this is your friend's little effort to relatives.

Glimmer of hope our utmost to achieve

Time has a whole over the last 7 days, access to the most earthquake relief in times of emergency. At this time, to save people's lives remains a priority, top priority, we still have to continue to race against time to rescue trapped people. This is the Party Central Committee to focus on disaster relief situation, and resolutely to win the tough battle with the clear demands.

People's lives above everything else. As masters of the country, as the country's citizens have the dignity of every life, must be especially cherish. This is a great relief the party Central Committee show the life of a thousand miles a declaration of all rescue workers rely on tenacious conviction.

For the victims of earthquake in the fellow, we establish a national day of mourning for the victims compatriots flag fall from the sky, but Ming fellow whistle for the victims, while air-raid sirens sound for the dead compatriots, the National People's compatriots and sorrow for the victims. This highlights the dignity of life, is a country and nation, respect for life. In the ruins on top of each one, rescue workers still make every effort to search, as long as there is a glimmer of hope, they will not give up; so long as there is little chance of returning alive, we pay our utmost to achieve. This is our best reflect the value of life, is still under the debris of life tenaciously adhered to the solemn commitment of each one.

Endless life and struggle more than. While it is well past the 72 hours after the earthquake the "golden rescue" time, but the good news of trapped persons rescued are constantly heard, at least in some of the ruins are still found under the breath of life. Pressure buried under the rubble of life to uphold and fight, not only created one after another miracle of life, displaying the indomitable will to live, but also reflects the party and the government of the people's army of the high degree of confidence. "I'll wait for you to come and save me, I am sure you will come and save me!" This is the pressure in the ruins buried under the people's expectations and call.

As time goes on, to rescue trapped officers will be getting lower and lower survival rate, which is not independent of human will and emotions of the transfer. Now, the most critical thing is to give full play to the people's army commando role in the rescue teams on the basis of access to all towns as soon as possible access to all the villages, everywhere investigation collapsed houses, make every effort to rescue trapped people. We should give full play to the advantages of professional rescue teams carry out science and rescue, do its utmost to rescue trapped people's lives. As long as there is a life, as long as there is breath left, we must at all costs, to pay our utmost to achieve.

Value of people's lives will certainly win the respect of the people, greatly consolidate people's power, greatly to gather up pressure does not fall, can not destroy the national spirit. This spirit, the strength of the Chinese nation for thousands of years Passing the torch of the valuable asset that we overcome all difficulties on the road ahead, risks and challenges of power. The strong leadership of the party Central Committee, the tenacious struggle of all the soldiers and civilians, there are people of all nationalities in the same boat, we can overcome all difficulties and obstacles, determined to win this tough battle earthquake relief.

We praise of life, we look forward to a miracle!

(May 20 People's Daily commentator's article)

Corporate Social Responsibility

Corporate Social Responsibility (Corporate Social Responsibility, referred to as CSR) concept include: enterprises to create profits for shareholders is responsible, we must also bear the right of employees on social and environmental social responsibility, including compliance with business ethics, product safety, occupational health, protect the legitimate rights and interests of workers and save resources.

The World Bank, the corporate social responsibility is defined as: business and the relationship between the key stakeholders, values, law-abiding and respect people, communities and the environment policies and practices relating to the collection. It is the company to improve the quality of life for stakeholders to contribute to sustainable development, a promise.

In addition, there is a view that the so-called "corporate social responsibility" refers to a market economy system, corporate responsibility in addition to shareholders (stock holder) the pursuit of profits, should also consider stakeholder (stake holder), the the impact and the affected parties in the interests of corporate behavior. Among them, the interests of employees is a corporate social responsibility in the most direct and most important content.

Corporate social responsibility (CSR, also called corporate responsibility, corporate citizenship, and responsible business) is about how businesses align their values and behaviour with the expectations and needs of stakeholders - not just customers and investors, but also employees, suppliers, communities, regulators , special interest groups and society as a whole. CSR describes a company's commitment to be accountable to its stakeholders.

CSR demands that businesses manage the economic, social and environmental impacts of their operations to maximise the benefits and minimise the downsides.

Key CSR issues include governance, environmental management, stakeholder engagement, labour standards, employee and community relations, social equity, responsible sourcing and human rights.

Require businesses with social responsibility, which as early as 1999 by the World Economic Forum in Davos, UN Secretary-General Annan Ti and. Annan calls on business to play a role, regardless of where they conduct business, must demonstrate good global citizenship. Business in the community life of the use of society's resources for their own profit, like my colleagues has a social attribute, in essence a citizen, therefore, should bear certain social responsibilities, in order to return to society, and to obtain for themselves a good social reputation. These social responsibilities generally include three levels of content:

First, various types of enterprises should abide by national laws and regulations;
Second, enterprises should ensure that their product quality;
Third, enterprises should contribute to promoting social development.

So let's take a look at the major business-to-own "corporate social responsibility" statements:

Foxconn
SER guidelines:
Environmental conservation, safety law, health and hygiene, continuous improvement, the benefit of society, the general principle of sustainable management:
Full participation, is everyone's responsibility, and create a better production and living environment, safety, health and hygiene, compliance management, continuous improvement
http://www.foxconn.com.cn/ser/06110601.htm

Pfizer (Pfizer)
Pfizer emotional ties to China, has always conscientiously fulfill the obligations of corporate citizenship and actively cooperate with government agencies, assist the medical units and community-based organizations, and to provide professional medical training, organizational health education activities to promote disease prevention and treatment knowledge, and actively participate in community disaster relief efforts .
http://www.pfizer.com.cn/htmls/cdex/dex2-4.htm  

Unilever (Unilever)
Globally, Unilever's main focus on strengthening people's awareness of environmental protection, promoting sustainable development and protect water resources. We strictly abide by responsibilities, and strive to make our actions on the survival of our common environment to minimize the impact of our efforts, including in all the fish raw materials from sustainable development, fisheries, water resources management in the global support projects, promotion of sustainable development of agriculture program.
http://www.unilever.com.cn/ourvalues/environmentandsociety/

Novartis (Novartis)
Novartis corporate citizenship is an integral part of our operation and our key to success. We believe that corporate citizenship is the right thing, but also to maintain our business, innovation and development necessary. Through responsible management, we strive to create value for society.
Corporate citizenship at Novartis is an integral part of how we operate and a key to our success. We believe corporate citizenship is the right thing to do and essential to maintaining our license to operate, innovate and grow. Through responsible business, we endeavor to create value for society.
http://www.corporatecitizenship.novartis.com/index.shtml

Universal (GE)
In the GE, we continue to challenge their own creative ability, uphold the spirit of good faith in promoting business development, by addressing our business-related individuals and communities face daunting challenges, the benefit of society.
GE expects to be a responsible corporate citizen, the leader in business. To this end, we need to identify key areas relevant to our business. GE identified in line with company's development strategy, four major strategic areas, we believe that in these areas can assume the responsibility of corporate citizens to play a leading role.
http://www.ge.com/cn/company/citizenship/index.html

In checking the majority of the mainland company's website, few clear-cut "corporate social responsibility" or "corporate citizenship" entries, and more to reflect the number of public activities and content of corporate culture, which somehow reflects the company's treatment of the concept of public service activities of the differences in how we exist. "Corporate citizenship" means a long-term is also a more responsible attitude on this point seems to be worthy of our many businesses to learn.

We are all Chinese

Since a week, every moment watching the news of the earthquake in Sichuan, for each one and moved by the miracle of life, but also behind these miracles made arduous efforts for the rescue of people to express my sincere respect.
Not just me, everyone around the active interest, are in various ways to make the humble people of disaster areas. Yes, the action and do something for the people of disaster areas, which is, as every Chinese heart cry. Who are in a foreign country's Liuda active in organizing a relief fund-raising activities in Heidelberg, kingler actively preparing for the site in the United States and co-student advocacy matters relating to the Sichuan earthquake donations, which everything is spontaneous, as a Chinese person's responsibility to drives them.
Just read the "love and dedication," large-scale fund-raising activities have been moved again and again. Yes, we are all Chinese, we are concerted efforts!

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